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Ponderação de modelos com aplicação em regressão logística binária
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2006-04-18)
This work consider the problem of how to incorporate model selection uncertainty
into statistical inference, through model averaging, applied to logistic regression. It will
be used the approach of Buckland et. al. (1997), ...
Modelos para dados de contagem: um estudo sobre o número de ovos do mosquito Aedes aegypti
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2007-07-22)
In this work we considered four types of models for count data: the
Poisson model, the Negative Binomial Model and variations of these
models for count inflated of zeros (ZIP and ZINB).
Information on the number of put ...
Uso de métodos bayesianos em testes de vida acelerados no controle da qualidade de produtos industriais
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2006-03-03)
In this work, we introduce a Bayesian approach for quality control of industrial products, assuming units in test under stress levels higher than the usual level. We assume di¤erent distributions for the lifetimes of the ...
Modelos de resposta ao item com função de ligação t-assimétrica
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2007-04-20)
The Item Response Theory (IRT) is a set of mathematical models representing the probability of an individual to take a correct response of an item and its ability. The purpose of our research is to show the models formulated ...
Algumas extensões da distribuição Birnbaum-Saunders: uma abordagem bayesiana
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2012-01-09)
The Birnbaum-Saunders Distribution is based on an physical damage that produces the cumulative fatigue materials, This fatigue was identified as an important cause of failure in engineering structures. Recently, this model ...
Novas distribuições em análise de sobrevivência envolvendo composição e correlação dentre as causas competitivas
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2015-08-14)
In this thesis, we construct distribution functions for analysis of lifetimes with the focus in scenes of latent risks inspired in models of the carcinogenesis process. Some properties of these distribution functions are ...
Multivariate Copula-based SUR Tobit Models : a modified inference function for margins and interval estimation
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2015-09-30)
In this thesis, we extend the analysis of multivariate Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) Tobit models by modeling their nonlinear dependence structures through copulas. The capability in coupling together the diferent ...
Defective models for cure rate modeling
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2016-04-01)
Modeling of a cure fraction, also known as long-term survivors, is a part of survival analysis. It studies cases where supposedly there are observations not susceptible to the event of interest. Such cases require special ...
Modelos para séries temporais utilizando as distribuições normal generalizada e log-normal generalizada
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2016-03-23)
From the generalized normal distribution and concepts of the generalized autoregressive
moving averages models we introduce the generalized normal-ARMA model as
an alternative way to model time series exhibiting symmetry ...
Models for inflated data applied to credit risk analysis
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2016-09-27)
In this thesis, we introduce a methodology based on zero-inflated survival data for the
purposes of dealing with propensity to default (credit risk) in bank loan portfolios. Our
approach enables us to accommodate three ...