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Time series forecasting : advances on Theta method
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2016-05-13)
Accurate and robust forecasting methods for univariate time series are critical as the historical data can be used in the strategic planning of such future operations as buying and selling to ensure product inventory and ...
Uma classe de modelos de regressão bivariados para respostas discreta e contínua
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2016-01-28)
In this thesis, a wide general class of models for mixed responses is proposed in which joint distributions are constructed by the conditional approach (probability density functions, (pdf), as the product of a marginal ...
Avaliação esportiva utilizando técnicas multivariadas: construção de indicadores e sistemas online
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2014-10-10)
The main objective of this research is to provide statistical tools that allow the comparison
of individuals in a speci ed sports category. Particularly, the present study is focused
on the performance evaluation in ...
Família Weibull de razão de chances na presença de covariáveis
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2009-03-18)
The Weibull distribuition is a common initial choice for modeling data with monotone hazard rates. However, such distribution fails to provide a reasonable parametric _t when the hazard function is unimodal or bathtub-shaped. ...
Modelos de sobrevivência com fração de cura usando um termo de fragilidade e tempo de vida Weibull modificada generalizada
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2011-02-24)
In survival analysis, some studies are characterized by having a significant fraction of units that will never suffer the event of interest, even if accompanied by a long period of time. For the analysis of long-term data, ...
O método de máxima Lq-verossimilhança em modelos com erros de medição
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2012-02-29)
In this work we consider a new estimator proposed by Ferrari & Yang (2010), called the maximum Lq-likelihood estimator (MLqE), to estimate the parameters of the measurement error models, in particular, the structural model. ...
Modelagem de eventos raros: um estudo comparativo
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2012-01-16)
In some situations, in various areas of knowledge, the response variable of interest has dichotomous distribution extremely unbalanced. In the _nancial market is the common interest in determining the probability that each ...
Modelagem de partição bayesiana para dados de sobrevivência de longa duração
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2009-11-27)
In this work we present a bayesian approach for the survival model with cure rate in the presence of covariates. In this perspective, the modelling is a direct extension of the long-term model of (Chen et al., 1999). This ...
Uma nova abordagem para análise de dependência bivariada
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2010-04-23)
In this dissertation we describe and implement procedures for nonparametric estimation of copulas and Sibuya function, and also procedures for bivariate analysis of dependence based on the behavior of their contours plot. ...
Uma abordagem bayesiana para análise de fraude de subscrição em telecomunicações
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2006-06-09)