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Contribuições sobre o envelope simulado na análise de diagnóstico em modelos de regressão
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2019-04-30)
The simulated envelope is a diagnostic analysis method used to evaluate the hypothesis about the probability distribution assumed for the response variable in a regression model. In this work, we describe some procedures ...
Modelos de difusão de inovação em grafos
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2019-04-12)
Areas such as politics, economics and marketing are heavily influential in terms of information diffusion. For this reason, several branches of science have studied such phenomena in order to simulate and understand them ...
Quantificação em problemas com mudança de domínio
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2018-05-17)
Several machine learning applications use classifiers as a way of quantifying the prevalence of positive class labels in a target dataset, a task named quantification. For instance, a naive way of determining what proportion ...
Influência local com procura "forward' em modelos de regressão linear
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2015-02-25)
The identification of influential and/or atypical observations in a data set is known as a part of the diagnostic analysis. One of the purposes of the diagnostic analysis is to verify the robustness of a statistical model, ...
Modelos preditivos para LGD
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2018-05-04)
Financial institutions willing to use the advanced Internal Ratings Based (IRB) need to develop
methods to estimate the LGD (Loss Given Default) risk component. Proposals for PD (Probability
of default) modeling have ...
Abordagem de martingais para análise assintótica do passeio aleatório do elefante
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2018-08-20)
In this work we study the elephant random walk introduced in (SCHUTZ; TRIMPER, 2004),
a discrete time, non-Markovian stochastic process with unlimited range memory that presents
phase transition. Our objective is to proof ...
Estudo do impacto da escolha do modelo para o controle de overdose na fase I dos ensaios clínicos
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2018-10-03)
Escalation with overdose control proportional hazards is a Bayesian method with overdose control that estimates the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) assuming that the time a patient takes to show toxicity follows the proportional ...
Métodos de Monte Carlo Hamiltoniano aplicados em modelos GARCH
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2019-04-26)
One of the most important informations in financial market is variability of an asset. Several
models have been proposed in literature with a view of to evaluate this phenomenon. Among
them we have the GARCH models. This ...
Modelo de dispersão Hiper-Poisson para variáveis discretas observáveis e não observáveis
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2019-12-06)
Poisson distribution is widely used to model count data, however it has the disadvantage the
assumption that the data must have equal mean and variance, which is not always true, since
in many situations the phenomenon ...
Classe de modelos de fragilidade com efeito do acúmulo de reparos em múltiplos sistemas reparáveis
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2019-12-13)
In repairable systems, a fundamental aspect to be considered is predict the reliability of the systems being studied. However, the standard methods used to analyze reparable system data ignore the cumulative effect of ...