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Now showing items 31-40 of 40
Modelo de regressão de valor extremo para dados agrupados
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2013-03-11)
One of the distributions used to model extremal events is the type I extremevalue distribution (Gumbel distribution). The usual extreme-value regression model requires independent observations. In this work, using generalized ...
Verificação da performance de modelos APARCH assimétricos aplicados a dados financeiros
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2013-04-01)
The volatility of financial assets changes over time, indicating the specification of regime change in volatility models. Furthermore, the presence of asymmetry in the returns of the financial market has been recognized ...
Análise estatística do modelo de Nelson e Siegel
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2013-03-21)
The present paper studies the yield curve, an important tool for financial decisions, due to its fundamental role in the implementation and evaluation of monetary policies by the central banks. It also shows market ...
Extensões dos modelos de sobrevivência referente a distribuição Weibull
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2014-03-07)
In this dissertation, two models of probability distributions for the lifetimes until the occurrence of the event produced by a specific cause for elements in a population are reviewed. The first revised model is called ...
Distribuição de Poisson bivariada aplicada à previsão de resultados esportivos
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2014-04-23)
The modelling of paired counts data is a topic that has been frequently discussed in several threads of research. In particular, we can cite bivariate counts, such as the analysis of sports scores. As a result, in this ...
Dependência entre perdas em risco operacional
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2014-02-12)
In this work, we present and discuss the operational risk in the financial institutions, Basel Accord II, the structure of dependence between cumulative operational losses, a tool for modeling this dependence (theory of ...
Modelo de mistura com dependência Markoviana de primeira ordem
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2014-09-12)
We present the mixture model with first order dependence, MMM(1). This model corresponds to a redefinition of the hidden Markov model (HMM) where a non observable variable is used to control the mixture. The usual mixture ...
Modelos de regressão bivariados Bernoulli : exponencial
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2013-04-05)
Redes probabilísticas de K-dependência para problemas de classificação binária
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2012-02-28)
Classification consists in the discovery of rules of prediction to assist with planning and decision-making, being a continuously indispensable tool and a highly discussed subject in literature. As a special case in ...
Algumas extensões da distribuição Birnbaum-Saunders: uma abordagem bayesiana
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2012-01-09)
The Birnbaum-Saunders Distribution is based on an physical damage that produces the cumulative fatigue materials, This fatigue was identified as an important cause of failure in engineering structures. Recently, this model ...