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Modelos alternativos em filas M/G/1
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2015-11-26)
The main aim of this work is to develop alternative queuing models to M/ G/l, in which arrivals follow a Poisson process, the total number of customers on the system and the total number of service channels are unknown. ...
Modelo Weibull modificado de longa duração
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2011-12-07)
When a group of patients is monitored until a pre-established date for observation of the
recurrence time of an event, it is possible that, at the end of the monitoring period, a parcel of such
group has not yet suffered ...
Time series forecasting : advances on Theta method
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2016-05-13)
Accurate and robust forecasting methods for univariate time series are critical as the historical data can be used in the strategic planning of such future operations as buying and selling to ensure product inventory and ...
Modelagem de eventos raros: um estudo comparativo
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2012-01-16)
In some situations, in various areas of knowledge, the response variable of interest has dichotomous distribution extremely unbalanced. In the _nancial market is the common interest in determining the probability that each ...
Uma abordagem clássica e bayesiana para os modelos de Gompertz e de Richards heteroscedásticos.
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2005-09-16)
This work presents a classical and a Bayesian approaches to two sigmoidal grownth curves, the Gompertz and the Richards models. We consider the homoscedastic assumption and a multiplicative heteroscedastic structure. For ...
Modelos série de potência com excesso de zeros observáveis e latentes
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2016-09-28)
The present work's main objective is to study the significance of zeros in an observable
and latent data. In observable data set that occur excess of zeros, its common to have
sobredispersion. In this sense, the models ...
Models for inflated data applied to credit risk analysis
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2016-09-27)
In this thesis, we introduce a methodology based on zero-inflated survival data for the
purposes of dealing with propensity to default (credit risk) in bank loan portfolios. Our
approach enables us to accommodate three ...
Novas distribuições em análise de sobrevivência envolvendo composição e correlação dentre as causas competitivas
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2015-08-14)
In this thesis, we construct distribution functions for analysis of lifetimes with the focus in scenes of latent risks inspired in models of the carcinogenesis process. Some properties of these distribution functions are ...