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Time series forecasting : advances on Theta method
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2016-05-13)
Accurate and robust forecasting methods for univariate time series are critical as the historical data can be used in the strategic planning of such future operations as buying and selling to ensure product inventory and ...
Models for inflated data applied to credit risk analysis
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2016-09-27)
In this thesis, we introduce a methodology based on zero-inflated survival data for the
purposes of dealing with propensity to default (credit risk) in bank loan portfolios. Our
approach enables us to accommodate three ...
Modelos série de potência com excesso de zeros observáveis e latentes
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2016-09-28)
The present work's main objective is to study the significance of zeros in an observable
and latent data. In observable data set that occur excess of zeros, its common to have
sobredispersion. In this sense, the models ...
Modelos alternativos em filas M/G/1
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2015-11-26)
The main aim of this work is to develop alternative queuing models to M/ G/l, in which arrivals follow a Poisson process, the total number of customers on the system and the total number of service channels are unknown. ...