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Modelos de sobrevivência com base nas distribuições geométrica e exponencial
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2013-02-01)
In this dissertation we propose four models to model lifetime data. The fist family of distribution is called Exponentiated Complementary Exponential Geometric distribution (ECEG) and it is obtained by exponentiation of ...
Risco operacional: o cálculo do capital regulatório usando dependência
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2014-01-16)
In this paper we propose a new method for the calculation of regulatory capital required for operational risk. This method is based on some important assumptions for calculation of this capital, for instance, expert opinion, ...
Modelo de regressão de valor extremo para dados agrupados
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2013-03-11)
One of the distributions used to model extremal events is the type I extremevalue distribution (Gumbel distribution). The usual extreme-value regression model requires independent observations. In this work, using generalized ...
Verificação da performance de modelos APARCH assimétricos aplicados a dados financeiros
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2013-04-01)
The volatility of financial assets changes over time, indicating the specification of regime change in volatility models. Furthermore, the presence of asymmetry in the returns of the financial market has been recognized ...
Estimadores não paramétricos para dados com censura
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2013-04-19)
In this paper we study the reliability of systems with connected components in series and parallel. For systems in series, the device fails when the first component fails. Although in the parallel systems this happens when ...
Modelos estatísticos para LGD : uma visão clássica e bayesiana
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2011-03-28)
Every day in financial institution is common to nd customers who are unable to honor their commitments. When this occurs we say that the individual is in default. In a possible economic downturn the portfolio could su_er ...
Aspectos práticos da estimação do modelo de mistura via processo de Dirichlet
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2013-04-03)
We review the Dirichlet process mixture model and investigate its performance as a classification method. The first aspect considered is its sensibility to the choice of location parameter of the base distribution. The ...
Introdução ao controle estatístico de processo on-line
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2011-04-07)
Uma abordagem bayesiana para análise de fraude de subscrição em telecomunicações
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2006-06-09)
Família Weibull de razão de chances na presença de covariáveis
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2009-03-18)
The Weibull distribuition is a common initial choice for modeling data with monotone hazard rates. However, such distribution fails to provide a reasonable parametric _t when the hazard function is unimodal or bathtub-shaped. ...