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Dependência entre perdas em risco operacional
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2014-02-12)
In this work, we present and discuss the operational risk in the financial institutions, Basel Accord II, the structure of dependence between cumulative operational losses, a tool for modeling this dependence (theory of ...
Modelo de mistura com dependência Markoviana de primeira ordem
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2014-09-12)
We present the mixture model with first order dependence, MMM(1). This model corresponds to a redefinition of the hidden Markov model (HMM) where a non observable variable is used to control the mixture. The usual mixture ...
Modelos de regressão bivariados Bernoulli : exponencial
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2013-04-05)
Comparação do desempenho de Modelos Lineares Generalizados (MLG) e Modelos Aditivos Generalizados (MAG) na predição de dados financeiros em credit score
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2010-10-07)
This study aimed to present and compare the performance of two different methodologies for statistical modeling of financial data with dichotomous response, specifically exemplified by models of credit score as well as ...
Algumas extensões da distribuição Birnbaum-Saunders: uma abordagem bayesiana
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2012-01-09)
The Birnbaum-Saunders Distribution is based on an physical damage that produces the cumulative fatigue materials, This fatigue was identified as an important cause of failure in engineering structures. Recently, this model ...
Redes probabilísticas de K-dependência para problemas de classificação binária
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2012-02-28)
Classification consists in the discovery of rules of prediction to assist with planning and decision-making, being a continuously indispensable tool and a highly discussed subject in literature. As a special case in ...
Novas distribuições em análise de sobrevivência envolvendo composição e correlação dentre as causas competitivas
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2015-08-14)
In this thesis, we construct distribution functions for analysis of lifetimes with the focus in scenes of latent risks inspired in models of the carcinogenesis process. Some properties of these distribution functions are ...
Modelo logístico generalizado dependente do tempo com fragilidade
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2011-02-11)
Several authors have preferred to model survival data in the presence of covariates through the hazard function, a fact related to its interpretation. The hazard function describes as the instantaneous average of failure ...
Modelos estatísticos para LGD : uma visão clássica e bayesiana
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2011-03-28)
Every day in financial institution is common to nd customers who are unable to honor their commitments. When this occurs we say that the individual is in default. In a possible economic downturn the portfolio could su_er ...
Regressão de dados binários : distribuição Weibull
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2010-03-12)
In this work a new class of models for binary data based on Weibull distribution is introduced. A review is made of the most known linkage functions. This class of models has as special case the complementary log-log model ...