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O método de máxima Lq-verossimilhança em modelos com erros de medição
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2012-02-29)
In this work we consider a new estimator proposed by Ferrari & Yang (2010), called the maximum Lq-likelihood estimator (MLqE), to estimate the parameters of the measurement error models, in particular, the structural model. ...
Comparação das distribuições α-estável, normal, t de student e Laplace assimétricas
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2012-01-27)
Abstract The asymmetric distributions has experienced great development in recent times. They are used in modeling financial data, medical, genetics and other applications. Among these distributions, the Skew normal ...
Análise de referência Bayesiana para o modelo Weibull na aplicação de riscos competitivos
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2009-01-30)
There are situations where various risk factors of failure are present, in the same time, in the life of system. For this reason we say that these factors are competing to cause the system failure. However, only one of ...
Dependência entre perdas em risco operacional
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2014-02-12)
In this work, we present and discuss the operational risk in the financial institutions, Basel Accord II, the structure of dependence between cumulative operational losses, a tool for modeling this dependence (theory of ...
Algumas extensões da distribuição Birnbaum-Saunders: uma abordagem bayesiana
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2012-01-09)
The Birnbaum-Saunders Distribution is based on an physical damage that produces the cumulative fatigue materials, This fatigue was identified as an important cause of failure in engineering structures. Recently, this model ...
Redes probabilísticas de K-dependência para problemas de classificação binária
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2012-02-28)
Classification consists in the discovery of rules of prediction to assist with planning and decision-making, being a continuously indispensable tool and a highly discussed subject in literature. As a special case in ...
Análise estatística do modelo de Nelson e Siegel
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2013-03-21)
The present paper studies the yield curve, an important tool for financial decisions, due to its fundamental role in the implementation and evaluation of monetary policies by the central banks. It also shows market ...
Modelagem de fraude em cartão de crédito
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2008-09-02)
The transactions volume increase brought the fraud increase, which result in a annual loss of billions of reais to all .nancial institutions in the world. Therefore, it.s very important the development of detection methods ...
Modelo destrutivo com variável terminal em experimentos quimiopreventivos de tumores em animais
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2012-04-12)
The chemical induction of carcinogens in chemopreventive animal experiments is becoming increasingly frequent in biological research. The purpose of these biological experiments is to evaluate the effect of a particular ...
Uma avaliação de métodos de previsão aplicados à grandes quantidades de séries temporais univariadas
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2012-12-06)
Time series forecasting is probably one of the most primordial interests on economics and econometrics, and the literature on this subject is extremely vast. Due to technological growth in recent decades, large amounts of ...