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O processo de Poisson estendido e aplicações
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2007-06-14)
Abstract
In this dissertation we will study how extended Poisson process can be applied to
construct discrete probabilistic models. An Extended Poisson Process is a continuous
time stochastic process with the state space ...
Inferência bayesiana objetiva e freqüentista para a probabilidade de sucesso
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2009-02-10)
This study considers two discrete distributions based on Bernoulli trials: the Binomial and the Negative Binomial. We explore credibility and confidence intervals to estimate the
probability of success of each distribution. ...
Modelo de mistura com número de componentes desconhecido: estimação via método split-merge
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2009-11-30)
We propose the split-merge MCMC and birth-split-merge MCMC algorithms to analyse mixture models with an unknown number of components. The strategy for splitting is based on data and posterior distribution. Allocation ...
Inferência bayesiana para o tamanho de uma população fechada com erros de registros de dados amostrais
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2008-06-12)
In this dissertation we determine maximum likelihood and bayesian estimates of the size of a closed population, from two lists of data of elements of the population. It has been supposed that the registers of the individual ...
Métodos estatísticos aplicados à análise da expressão gênica
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2006-02-23)
The technology of the DNA-Arrays is a tool used to identify and to compare levels of expression of a great number of genes or fragments of genes, in di¤erent conditions.
With this comparison, it is possible to identify ...
Modelo logístico generalizado dependente do tempo com fragilidade
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2011-02-11)
Several authors have preferred to model survival data in the presence of covariates through the hazard function, a fact related to its interpretation. The hazard function describes as the instantaneous average of failure ...
Modelos de regressão logística clássica, Bayesiana e redes neurais para Credit Scoring
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2008-02-15)
Important advances have been achieved in the granting of credit, however, the problem of identifying good customers for the granting of credit does not provide a definitive solution. Several techniques were presented and ...
Aspectos práticos da estimação do modelo de mistura via processo de Dirichlet
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2013-04-03)
We review the Dirichlet process mixture model and investigate its performance as a classification method. The first aspect considered is its sensibility to the choice of location parameter of the base distribution. The ...
Uma abordagem bayesiana para análise de fraude de subscrição em telecomunicações
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2006-06-09)
Estimação Bayesiana do tamanho de uma população de diabéticos através de listas de pacientes
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2005-02-25)
In this work, a bayesian methodology is shown to estimate the size of a diabethic-su¤ering population through lists containing information data of patients. The applied methodology is analogous of capture-recaptures in ...