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Abordagem estatística em modelos para séries temporais de contagem
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2013-05-06)
In this work, it was estudied the models INGARCH , GLARMA and GARMA to model count time series data with Poisson and Negative Binomial discrete conditional distributions. The main goal was analyze in classic and bayesian ...
Aspectos práticos da estimação do modelo de mistura via processo de Dirichlet
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2013-04-03)
We review the Dirichlet process mixture model and investigate its performance as a classification method. The first aspect considered is its sensibility to the choice of location parameter of the base distribution. The ...
Modelo logístico generalizado dependente do tempo com fragilidade
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2011-02-11)
Several authors have preferred to model survival data in the presence of covariates through the hazard function, a fact related to its interpretation. The hazard function describes as the instantaneous average of failure ...
Modelos de sobrevivência na presença de eventos recorrentes e longa duração
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2010-03-05)
In this thesis it is proposed to analyze recurrent event data, recurrent event data with cure fraction and recurrent event data with censoring and competing causes. For the recurrent event data analysis it is proposed a ...
Dados de sobrevivência multivariados na presença de covariáveis e observações censuradas: uma abordagem bayesiana
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2010-03-04)
In this work, we introduce a Bayesian Analysis for survival multivariate data in the presence of a covariate vector and censored observations. Different frailties or latent variables are considered to capture the correlation ...
Modelo de mistura padrão de longa duração com censura uniforme-exponencial
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2010-03-25)
In survival data analysis it is common the occurrence of a large number of individuals to the right. This fact can indicate that, in a fraction of the individuals the event of interest will never happen, in other words, a ...
Modelo de mistura padrão com tempo de falha exponencial e censura informativa
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2010-06-25)
In this work we consider the long-term survival model introduced by Berkson & Gage (1952), for modeling survival data of nonhomogeneous populations, where a subpopulation does not present the event of interest, despite a ...
Algumas extensões da distribuição Birnbaum-Saunders: uma abordagem bayesiana
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2012-01-09)
The Birnbaum-Saunders Distribution is based on an physical damage that produces the cumulative fatigue materials, This fatigue was identified as an important cause of failure in engineering structures. Recently, this model ...
Análise estatística do modelo de Nelson e Siegel
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2013-03-21)
The present paper studies the yield curve, an important tool for financial decisions, due to its fundamental role in the implementation and evaluation of monetary policies by the central banks. It also shows market ...
Modelos de sobrevivência bivariados baseados na cópula FGM : uma abordagem bayesiana
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2012-02-07)
In this work we present a Bayesian analysis for bivariate survival data in the presence of a covariate and censored observations. We propose a bivariate distribution for the bivariate survival times based on the ...