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A reorientação do fluxo de transporte rumo ao norte do Brasil
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2017-12-06) Campos, Carlos Eduardo Espinel; Gurgel, Angelo Costa; https://lattes.cnpq.br/1368894778228852; Castro, Eduardo Rodrigues de; https://lattes.cnpq.br/5702172673123334; https://lattes.cnpq.br/9466405488124487
The objective of this research is to analyze the economic impacts of the reorientation of the national transport flow towards the ports of the North, as it is currently concentrated in the ports located in the South and Southeast of the country. Through an analysis of the freight prices and export volume of the soybean from the Central West Region to the ports of the North and South and Southeast of Brazil, it was possible to establish efficiency gains, which supported the shocks applied through a computable general equilibrium model, to identify the direct and indirect effects of this possible reorientation trough North. The results indicated that there are gains caused by a possible redirection of the transport flow, however, as a rule, they concentrate income and benefit mostly the Central West Region. Thus, competitive gains obtained by this region are in detriment of the other regions of the country. In addition, the economic impacts of the shocks did not present a high intensity, since the "transport" input, where the efficiency shock was applied, is only one among the various inputs used in soybean production. The alternative of increasing the transport flow trough the North has been shown effective, but not enough to fix the logistical deficit that challenges the Brazilian agribusiness performance. Therefore it is necessary to combine this reorientation with other measures that may bring greater dynamism to the country.
Estudo de caso sobre exposição a violência intrafamiliar de uma criança PAEE
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2017-12-06) Pereira, Juliana Maschio; D'Affonseca, Sabrina Mazo; https://lattes.cnpq.br/0381029115416584; https://lattes.cnpq.br/9076765354804624
The present work describes a case study with the objective of investigating the impact of intrafamily violence on the academic performance of children in the target group of special education considering the conditions of children with disabilities exposed to this context of violence. The participants were a child with disabilities in school, his mother and the teacher of the regular classroom of the school he attended. The results showed the low quality of family relationships and the impact on the child's academic life. It was concluded that the low quality of interactions in the family environment can be aggravating for the learning of the target audience of special education.
Avaliação do risco antes e após reeleição de Dilma Roussef: uma análise por meio de redes de correlação
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2017-12-06) Cardoso, Gerson Nassor; Silva Junior, Geraldo Edmundo; https://lattes.cnpq.br/8219776243725964
Brazil went through a political and economic crisis period from 2013 to 2016. The electoral results, in 2014 interfered in the local stock market risk. Data from BM&FBOVESPA suggested an increase in the local stock market volatility. Similarly, loss in the most of the companies` market value. Recession and crisis marked the following years. However, loses in financial and consumer`s sectors seemed to be lower. In this way, we asked if also the systemic risk would have grown, if the central companies and sectors would have changed and what would be the minimum variance and systemic risk portfolios. A dynamical Minimum Spanning Trees (MST) analyzed the systemic risk. I built 48 mothly MST´s from October 2012 utill September 2016 and analyzed the first four moments of the distance correlation matrix. I proposed two MST`s to verify the optimal portfolios and changes in the central companies and sectors: one for the two years before the re-election of Dilma Roussef and another for the two years after. I compared the central vertices and the number of clusters by hierarchical clustering. By observing the MST length`s shrinking and the increases in the correlation level, I discovered that the systemic risk grew through the following six months after the electoral results. Changes in the inclination of the distance correlation`s asymmetry and kurtosis suggested expectation and uncertainty changes. The hierarchical clustering revealed that the central stocks before the reelection were BBDC4- Bradesco Bank and EVEN3-EVEN Construction Company. After that, BBCD4 and ITSA4 – Itau Bank remained as the most central stocks. Construction sector left to be an important sector and stood by ITSA4 periphery. I suggested 8 clusters for each period as the available number for portfolio diversification for systemic risk reduction. The 20 lowest closeness centralities indicated the minimum variance portfolios for both periods.
Crescimento econômico e política monetária endógena: a ZIRP como consequência de um baixo crescimento
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2017-12-06) Siqueira, João Vítor Pires de; Silva Junior, Geraldo Edmundo; https://lattes.cnpq.br/5138808982229139; https://lattes.cnpq.br/2372554912494009
The discussion on monetary policies in the history of economic thought has shaped itself facing political and economic events throughout history. From the quantitative theory of money (QTM) and the Keynesian theory to the policies of inflation targeting and zero interest rates today. This recent interest in zero interest rate policy (ZIRP) or negative interest rate (NIRP) has attracted the attention of economists, academics and policy makers. The present work aims to evaluate and to identify if the reduction of economic growth imposes or not a technical limit for the formulation of policies of interest rates. In addition, it aims to incorporate population variables into the analysis to model possible demographic impacts on interest rates, as populations in most countries are showing lower or even negative population growth rates, shifting demographics of countries towards greater representation of the older population. The possible relationships between the variables will be tested through panel data models, where annual data of interest rates, economic growth, inflation rates and demographic growth/evolution for the period from 1960 to 2015 will be used for a set of countries which adopted zero and/or negative interest rates after the 2008 crisis. The conclusion is that the aging of the population seems to restrict the possible stimulus of monetary policy, generating lower interest rates over time.
Avaliação do desempenho tático no Futsal em uma turma de atividade curricular desportiva
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2017-12-06) Celestini, João Vitor; Souza Júnior, Osmar Moreira de; https://lattes.cnpq.br/9176123942671062; https://lattes.cnpq.br/0149248637957818
The objective of this research is to analyze an intervention in a Sports Curriculum Activity of futsal as well as the application process in test to evaluate the game performance. The research method consisted of strategic action research developed at a state school in São Carlos, for which the researcher carried out an intervention of ten classes that included the application of the TSAP test at the beginning and at the end of this process. The test itself is an effective evaluation method for team sports worked in a teaching unit because it is able to collect data that serves to understand the level of collective and individual game. The training was carried out from the tactical demands of the game based on the pedagogy of team sports. With the application of the intervention we can report that there was on the part of the students a concern with the objectives of the game and questions during the activities and the TSAP helped to see at the end of the intervention the performance of the students.
O programa Acessa Escola e as influências da Indústria Cultural em tempos da cultura digital
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2017-12-06) Silva, Camila Perez da; Zuin, Antônio Álvaro Soares; https://lattes.cnpq.br/5543562307373287; https://lattes.cnpq.br/0169459180378881
Public initiatives in the field of technological education in Brazil aim to minimize the problems related to digital exclusion through the mass distribution of computers to schools and the construction of collective internet access centers. Such initiatives, aimed at digital inclusion, are often advertised as synonymous with social inclusion policies. In order to problematize this reality, the present work investigated, in the light of the Critical Theory, the contradictions observed in the process of implementation of the program conceived by the State Department of Education of São Paulo called Acessa Escola, considered one of the most comprehensive policies of digital inclusion from the country. The analysis has shown that the numerous obstacles to ICT use in schools, such as low connectivity, the constant need for equipment maintenance and the lack of training courses for teachers, lead to the underutilization of the technological apparatus, contributing to disseminate the semiformation in the teaching units.