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Inferência bayesiana em modelos de volatilidade estocástica usando métodos de Monte Carlo Hamiltoniano
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2018-08-10)
This paper presents a study using Bayesian approach in stochastic volatility models for modeling
financial time series, using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo methods (HMC). We propose the use
of other distributions for the errors ...
Análise bayesiana de dados funcionais com o uso de processo Gaussiano e metanálise: uma aplicação para a marcha humana
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2019-05-02)
The term "functional data" arised to accommodate situations in which each observation can be naturally interpreted as a function. These situations have become increasingly common with the availability of measuring instruments ...
Detecting influential observations in spatial models using Bregman divergence
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2018-02-26)
How to evaluate if a spatial model is well ajusted to a problem? How to know if it is the best model between the class of conditional autoregressive (CAR) and simultaneous autoregressive (SAR) models, including homoscedasticity ...
Modelo de mistura de regressão: uma abordagem bayesiana
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2020-04-14)
In the current dissertation, we study the mixture regression models and present two Bayesian
methodologies for their estimation. The first one considers the number of components is known
and we propose the use of two ...
Statistical inference for non-homogeneous Poisson process with competing risks: a repairable systems approach under power-law process
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2019-08-30)
In this thesis, the main objective is to study certain aspects of modeling failure time data of repairable systems under a competing risks framework. We consider two different models and propose more efficient Bayesian ...