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A abordagem de martingais para o estudo de ocorrência de palavras em ensaios independentes
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2017-04-07)
Let {Xn} be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables taking values in an enumerable alphabet. Given a finite collection of words, we observe this sequence till the moment T at which one of these words appears as a run. In ...
Regressão binária nas abordagens clássica e bayesiana
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2016-12-16)
The objective of this work is to study the binary regression model under the frequentist and Bayesian approaches using the probit, logit, log-log complement, Box-Cox transformation and skewprobit as link functions. In the ...
Família Kumaraswamy-G para analisar dados de sobrevivência de longa duração
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2015-02-25)
In survival analysis is studied the time until the occurrence of a particular event of interest and in the literature, the most common approach is parametric, where the data follow a specific probability distribution. ...
Métodos de Monte Carlo Hamiltoniano na inferência Bayesiana não-paramétrica de valores extremos
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2015-03-09)
In this work we propose a Bayesian nonparametric approach for modeling extreme value data. We treat the location parameter _ of the generalized extreme value distribution as a random function following a Gaussian process ...
Processo de Bernoulli correlacionado
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2019-06-28)
The independent Bernoulli process, which is a sequence of independent Bernoulli random variables, is already widely known in the statistical literature. This masters thesis works with a generalization of this process: the ...
Distribuições preditiva e implícita para ativos financeiros
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2017-06-01)
We present two different approaches to obtain a probability density function for the
stock?s future price: a predictive distribution, based on a Bayesian time series model, and
the implied distribution, based on Black & ...
A distribuição normal-valor extremo generalizado para a modelagem de dados limitados no intervalo unitário (0, 1)
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2019-06-28)
In this research a new statistical model is introduced to model data restricted in the continuous interval (0,1). The proposed model is constructed under a transformation of variables, in which the transformed variable is ...
Testes de superioridade para modelos de chances proporcionais com e sem fração de cura
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2017-10-24)
Studies that prove the superiority of a drug in relation to others already existing in the market are of great interest in clinical practice. Based on them the Brazilian National Agency of Sanitary Surveillance (ANVISA) ...
Um estudo de estresse através dos níveis de cortisol em crianças
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2017-05-26)
The level of cortisol is considered as a measure of people’s stress. We perform an
statistical analysis of the data from a study conducted to evaluate if children that
work on the streets during the day have higher stress ...
Estimação de funções do redshift de galáxias com base em dados fotométricos
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2017-09-18)
In a substantial amount of astronomy problems, we are interested in estimating values assumed of some unknown quantity z ∈ R, for many function g, based on covariates x ∈ R^d. This is made using a sample (X1,Z1), ... ...