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Método bagging para aprimoramento de previsões de séries temporais
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2021-10-22)
Different methodologies are proposed and explored aiming to reduce time series forecasting
error. A promising approach consists in combining different forecasts from different models
in order to get a better accuracy, ...
Modelagem de predição de crimes na região metropolitana de São Paulo
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2023-12-13)
The issue of public security is a challenge for Brazilian society, and crime is a major concern for the most populous state in the country, São Paulo. It is always desirable for the public administration to model and predict ...
Nonparametric pragmatic hypothesis testing
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2022-06-13)
In statistical testing, a pragmatic hypothesis is an extension of a precise one, taking cases on the vicinity of the null as being equally worthy of appraisal. Unlike standard procedures, pragmatic hypotheses allow the ...
A robust lasso regression for linear mixed-effects models with diagnostic analysis
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2021-10-22)
Variable selection has been a topic of great interest for statisticians and researchers alike. The choice of the best subset of predictors may be carried out with the objective of improving prediction or for easier ...
Um estudo dos modelos de sobrevivência de longa duração LIGcr e GEPGWcr
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2022-10-04)
In this work we study two long-term survival models denomined Logaritmic Inverse Gaussian cure rate (LIGcr) model and Geometric Exponentiated Power Generalized Weibull cure rate (GEPGWcr) model. Both models take into ...
A nonparametric bayesian approach for modeling and comparison of functional data
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2022-09-02)
The current advances of technology provides, among other things, several ways of collecting
data, which enlarges the possibility of studying new phenomena. Researches focused on studying
the functional relation between ...
Observações atípicas em alta dimensão
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2022-09-15)
Outliers and heteroskedastic noise are two common situations in Statistics. Nowadays the amount
of generated data is very high and for this reason it is possible to find high dimensional data
(the dimension d is just as ...
Bayesian inference for term structure models
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2022-06-09)
We explore recent advances in Bayesian methods in order to estimate the Vasicek, CIR and
dynamic Nelson-Siegel (DNS) models for term structure of interest rates. The models are
specified as state space time series. The ...
Scalable and interpretable kernel methods based on random Fourier features
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2023-03-29)
Kernel methods are a class of statistical machine learning models based on positive semidefinite kernels, which serve as a measure of similarity between data features. Examples of kernel methods include kernel ridge ...
Testes de superioridade para modelos de chances proporcionais com e sem fração de cura
(Universidade Federal de São Carlos, 2017-10-24)
Studies that prove the superiority of a drug in relation to others already existing in the market are of great interest in clinical practice. Based on them the Brazilian National Agency of Sanitary Surveillance (ANVISA) ...